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Every week for the duration of the 2025 regular season, USA TODAY Sports will provide timely updates to the NFL’s ever-evolving playoff picture − typically starting Sunday afternoon and then moving forward for the remainder of the week (through Monday’s and Thursday’s games or Saturday’s, if applicable. And, when the holidays roll around, we’ll be watching then, too).

What just happened? What does it mean? What are the pertinent factors (and, perhaps, tiebreakers) prominently in play as each conference’s seven-team bracket begins to crystallize? All will be explained and analyzed up to the point when the postseason field is finalized on Sunday, Jan. 4.

Here’s where things stand with Week 14 now complete:

AFC playoff picture

1. Denver Broncos (11-2), AFC West leaders: They beat the Raiders on Sunday, winning their 10th in a row, matching New England’s victory total and overtaking the Patriots for possession of the top seed by virtue of a conference record (7-2) that is a half-game better. Remaining schedule: vs. Packers, vs. Jaguars, at Chiefs, vs. Chargers

2. New England Patriots (11-2), AFC East leaders: The first team in the league to reach 11 wins thanks to Week 13’s rollover of the Giants, the Pats remain in a very tight race with Denver, the teams’ airtight tiebreakers now in effect with the Broncos playing their 13th game Sunday. New England will officially wrap up its division by sweeping the Bills on Sunday. Remaining schedule: vs. Bills, at Ravens, at Jets, vs. Dolphins

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4), AFC South leaders: They claimed first place outright by smashing the depleted Colts on Sunday in Duval County. The Texans now lose as the bona fide threat. Remaining schedule: vs. Jets, at Broncos, vs. Colts, at Titans

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6), AFC North leaders: They jumped up nine spots, from out of the field back into the division lead by winning at Baltimore on Sunday. Remaining schedule: vs. Dolphins, at Lions, at Browns, vs. Ravens

5. Los Angeles Chargers (9-4), wild card No. 1: They’ve won five of six after surviving the Eagles on Monday night. A one-win advantage in AFC games (7-2) moves them ahead of Buffalo. Remaining schedule: at Chiefs, at Cowboys, vs. Texans, at Broncos

6. Buffalo Bills (9-4), wild card No. 1: Massive win over Cincinnati solidifies their playoff standing heading into a notable showdown at Foxborough in Week 15 to face the AFC East-leading Pats. Remaining schedule: at Patriots, at Browns, vs. Eagles, vs. Jets

7. Houston Texans (8-5), wild card No. 3: They’ve won six of seven, including five in a row. Beating the Chiefs at Arrowhead moved Houston into a wild-card slot by virtue of their Week 13 defeat of Indianapolis. Remaining schedule: vs. Cardinals, vs. Raiders, at Chargers, vs. Colts

8. Indianapolis Colts (8-5), in the hunt: They’ve dropped four of their past five and lost QB Daniel Jones to an Achilles injury Sunday in Jacksonville. Houston’s win Sunday night dropped Indy from the projected field entirely. And the schedule doesn’t let up the rest of the way. Remaining schedule: at Seahawks, vs. 49ers, vs. Jaguars, at Texans

9. Baltimore Ravens (6-7), in the hunt: Consecutive losses − and to AFC North foes (Bengals, Steelers) − has them on the outside looking in. A 4-5 record in AFC games places them ahead of K.C. and Miami. Remaining schedule: at Bengals, vs. Patriots, at Packers, at Steelers

10. Kansas City Chiefs (6-7), in the hunt: Their chances to win a 10th straight AFC West title are officially null and void. And Sunday night’s loss to Houston means they’ll likely miss the postseason for the first time since 2014 − Andy Reid’s second year in K.C. And don’t forget they’ve lost to the Broncos, Chargers, Bills, Texans and Jags, who are all ahead of them. Remaining schedule: vs. Chargers, at Titans, vs. Broncos, at Raiders

11. Miami Dolphins (6-7), in the hunt: They probably need to win the remainder of their games to even have a shot at postseason qualification but notched another one Sunday in New York. Remaining schedule: at Steelers, vs. Bengals, vs. Buccaneers, at Patriots

12. Cincinnati Bengals (4-9), in the hunt: They basically need to win the remainder of their games to even have a shot at postseason qualification … though they probably have a better one than Miami by virtue of living in this year’s surprisingly subpar AFC North. Remaining schedule: vs. Ravens, at Dolphins, vs. Cardinals, vs. Browns

NFC playoff picture

1. Los Angeles Rams (10-3), NFC West leaders: They regained the inside track for home-field advantage and a first-round bye by demolishing the Cardinals and benefiting from Chicago’s loss to Green Bay. The Rams’ Week 11 defeat of Seattle remains pivotal. Remaining schedule: vs. Lions, at Seahawks, at Falcons, vs. Cardinals

2. Green Bay Packers (9-3-1), NFC North leaders: They got the best of the archrival Bears, a consequential win that put the Pack back on top of the division and just a half-game off the conference pace. Remaining schedule: at Broncos, at Bears, vs. Ravens, at Vikings

3. Philadelphia Eagles (8-5), NFC East leaders: Three losses in a row not only mean a lot more scrutiny but − beware − a team that could still fall into the Cowboys’ clutches in the division if it’s not careful. Remaining schedule: vs. Raiders, at Commanders, at Bills, vs. Commanders

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6), NFC South leaders: They remain in first place despite a damaging loss to New Orleans. The Bucs currently have a one-game lead over Carolina in the common-games tiebreaker department. Remaining schedule: vs. Falcons, at Panthers, at Dolphins, vs. Panthers

5. Seattle Seahawks (10-3), wild card No. 1: Sunday’s rout of Falcons moved them atop the conference … for a few hours. But the Rams’ win at Arizona pushed Seattle back to the wild-card echelon. All three of the ‘Hawks’ losses are against NFC opponents, including two in the division − defeats that don’t serve them well in tiebreaker scenarios. Remaining schedule: vs. Colts, vs. Rams, at Panthers, at 49ers

6. San Francisco 49ers (9-4), wild card No. 2: They’re in a precarious spot given their pursuers, yet are just behind the Rams and Seahawks for the NFC West lead as well. Off last weekend, the Niners were in no danger of vacating the field. Remaining schedule: vs. Titans, at Colts, vs. Bears, vs. Seahawks

7. Chicago Bears (9-4), wild card No. 3: How tightly packed is the NFC? One narrow loss dropped the Bears from first place in the conference to seventh, just a game ahead of the division rival Lions. Remaining schedule: vs. Browns, vs. Packers, at 49ers, vs. Lions

8. Detroit Lions (8-5), in the hunt: Huge win over Dallas on Thursday night. It brought the Lions within a game of the NFC’s final wild card and helped them in the division standings given Chicago’s Sunday reversal. Remaining schedule: at Rams, vs. Steelers, at Vikings, at Bears

9. Carolina Panthers (7-6), in the hunt: Though Carolina is off this week, the Panthers basically pulled even atop the NFC South. Remaining schedule: at Saints, vs. Buccaneers, vs. Seahawks, at Buccaneers

10. Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1), in the hunt: Crippling loss Thursday in Motown. Dallas’ best bet now is probably to hope the Eagles continue to struggle and leave the NFC East in play, the Cowboys’ chances to qualify creeping up to 10% on Monday, per the NFL’s Next Gen Stats. Remaining schedule: vs. Vikings, vs. Chargers, at Commanders, at Giants

NFL playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 15 (incomplete)

New England clinches AFC East with:

Win

NFL teams eliminated from playoff contention in 2025

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Both teams combined for six turnovers in the first half, with the Chargers defense ultimately forcing five turnovers in total.
Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert played through a hand injury, rushing for 66 yards and passing for 139 yards.
Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts threw a career-high four interceptions, including one to end the game in overtime.

INGLEWOOD, CA — Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers have won consecutive games.

The Chargers were able to hold on to a 22-19 overtime win against the Philadelphia Eagles in a sloppy contest.

The Chargers scored a touchdown on their opening drive, but it represented the only touchdown of the first half. The first two quarters featured six combined turnovers as the Chargers maintained a 10-6 lead at halftime.

The Eagles took a 16-13 fourth-quarter lead after a 52-yard touchdown run by running back Saquon Barkley. But the Chargers were able to storm back behind Herbert.  

Chargers kicker Cameron Dicker hit a 46-yard field goal get the contest into overtime.

In OT, the Dicker nailed a 54-yard go-ahead field goal. On the Eagles’ possession, the Chargers defensed picked off Jalen Hurts for a fourth time as the Eagles were attempting to score.

WINNERS

Justin Herbert toughness

Herbert played a week removed from having a procedure on his left hand. He was wearing protective gear and a glove around his injured left hand. The Chargers quarterback even took snaps under center.

Herbert showed tremendous toughness throughout. He surprisingly hurt the Eagles with his legs just as much as with his arm. Herbert rushed for 66 yards and he passed for 139 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Chargers defense

The Chargers had the third-ranked total defense entering Week 14, allowing 275.3 yards per game.

The Chargers defense allowed just six points and forced three turnovers in the first half. They held tough with the Eagles for most of the game.

Cam Hart, Da’Shawn Hand, Donte Jackson and Tony Jefferson all had interceptions as the Chargers picked off Jalen Hurts four times.

Saquon Barkley topped 100 yards rushing, but the Chargers defense forced five turnovers and held Philly’s offense in check.

The Chargers defense totaled four interceptions, 10 passes defensed, seven tackles for loss, one force fumble and one fumble recovery in the victory.

Eagles defense

The Eagles defense was stout without standout defensive tackle Jalen Carter (injuries to both shoulders) in the loss.

Philadelphia pressured Justin Herbert early and often. The Chargers’ offensive line struggled to contain the blitz, and their running backs and tight ends didn’t provide much assistance, either.

Herbert was sacked a career-high seven times. The Eagles had three takeaways in the loss.

Cameron Dicker

Dicker made all five of his field goals, including a 46-yard field goal to bring the game into overtime and a 54-yard game-winning field goal in OT.

The Chargers kicker has converted 31 of 33 field goals this year.

Eagles fans

Eagles fans showed up in a big way on Monday night, as Eagles jerseys were all around SoFi Stadium.

LOSERS

Eagles pass offense

The much-maligned Eagles offense came into Week 14 with the 23rd-ranked passing attack (196.3).

The Eagles call basic pass concepts and continue to lack any consistency in the pass game.

Jalen Hurts threw a career-high four interceptions. His interception in the fourth quarter came on a pass intended to A.J. Brown. The ball was a little high but it was catchable. The game conveniently ended on a Hurts interception in overtime.

Hurts ended with a nightmare career-high five total turnovers (four interceptions and one loss fumble).

Hurts had just two interceptions coming into Monday night.

Interception, fumble, fumble

Jalen Hurts a rare two turnovers on one play.

Hurts tossed an interception to Chargers DT Da’Shawn Hand. Hand fumbled during his 7-yard return. The loose football was recovered by Hurts, but he fumbled, and the football was finally recovered and maintained by Chargers linebacker Troy Dye at the Los Angeles 43-yard line.

First half turnovers

The two teams combined for six turnovers in the first half. Granted, three turnovers happened in one play. Each side had three turnovers apiece.

It was a sloppy first half from both offenses.

Justin Herbert and Jalen Hurts each (appropriately) had 95 yards passing in the first half.  

The Chargers offense scored the only touchdown in the first half.

Follow USA TODAY Sports’ Tyler Dragon on X @TheTylerDragon.

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With five turnovers on ‘Monday Night Football,’ Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts helped sink his team during a 19-16 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Chargers — and he fell just short of matching an NFL record.

The league record for turnovers by a in a single game is six, according to StatMuse. The record is shared by nine players, including two Hall of Famer quarterbacks — Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner.

Hurts almost joined the six-turnover club, in excruciating fashion.

Hurts even accomplished the rare feat of fumbling twice on one play. His final turnover, an interception, came off a tipped pass at the 1-yard line and ended the game in overtime.

The final tally: four interceptions, one lost fumble and turnover trauma for a lifetime.

Remarkably, Warner had six turnovers in a single game twice, both as a member of the Arizona Cardinals. He had three interceptions and three lost fumbles on Sept. 28, 2008 in a 56-35 loss to the New York Jets and on Nov. 1, 2009 had five interceptions and one lost fumble in a 34-21 loss to the Carolina Panthers.

Manning’s turnover-fest took place Nov. 11, 2007, when he threw six interceptions in a 23-21 loss to the San Diego Chargers. Cornerback Antonio Cromartie intercepted Manning three times, including a one-handed pick.

Warner coughed up three interceptions and three fumbles Nov. 1, 2009

Rex Grossman earned a share of the record when, as quarterback for the Chicago Bears on Oct. 16, 2006, he had four interceptions and two lost fumbles. Yet incredibly enough, the Bears beat the Arizona Cardinals, 24-23.

‘I’ve never played so bad and won a game like that,’ Grossman said after the game. ‘It was unbelievable.’

Surely Hurts would have liked to know that feeling.

The other players who had six turnovers in a single game are Jameis Winston, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Phillip Rivers, Gus Frerotte, Tony Romo and Chris Chandler.

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones recently had a five-turnover game in a 27-20 loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 9.

Most turnovers in a single game

1 (tie). 6 — Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. Carolina Panthers on Oct. 13, 2019): 1 fumble, 5 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Ryan Fitzpatrick, New York Jets (vs. Kansas City Chiefs on Sept. 25, 2016): 6 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (vs. Denver Broncos on Oct. 15, 2012): 2 fumbles, 4 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Kurt Warner, Arizona Cardinals (vs. Carolina Panthers on Nov. 1, 2009): 1 fumble, 5 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Kurt Warner, Arizona Cardinals (vs. New York Jets on Sept. 28, 2008): 3 fumbles, 3 INTs
1 (tie) 6 — Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts (vs. San Diego Chargers on Nov. 11, 2007): 6 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Gus Frerotte, St. Louis Rams (vs. Baltimore Ravens on Oct. 14, 2007): 1 fumble, 5 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys (vs. Buffalo Bills on Oct. 8, 2007): 1 fumble, 5 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Rex Grossman, Chicago Bears (vs. Arizona Cardinals on Oct. 16, 2006): 2 fumbles, 4 INTs
1 (tie). 6 — Chris Chandler, St. Louis Rams (vs. Carolina Panthers on Dec. 12, 2004): 6 INTs

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The Chicago White Sox have the best odds (27.73%) to land the No. 1 overall pick, followed by the Minnesota Twins (22.18%) and Pittsburgh Pirates (16.81%).

While the Colorado Rockies had MLB’s worst record (43-119), the team had a top-six lottery pick in each of the past two drafts, making them ineligible for a third.

This marks baseball’s fourth draft lottery and the previous teams to win the lottery had odds of 16.5% (2023 Pirates), 2.0% (2024 Guardians) and 10.2% (2025 Nationals).

Here’s what to know entering Tuesday’s draft lottery:

When is MLB draft lottery? How to watch, TV channel

Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: MLB Network

MLB draft lottery odds 2026

White Sox: 27.73%
Twins: 22.18%
Pirates: 16.81%
Orioles: 9.24%
Athletics: 6.55%
Braves: 4.54%
Rays: 3.03%
Cardinals: 2.35%
Marlins: 1.85%
Diamondbacks: 1.51%
Rangers: 1.34%
Giants: 1.01%
Royals: 0.84%
Mets: 0.67%
Astros: 0.34%
Rockies: ineligible
Nationals: ineligible
Angels: ineligible

The Colorado Rockies had the worst record in baseball but are are ineligible for the lottery because a team can’t receive a top-six pick three years in a row, after the team had such picks in 2024 and 2025. The Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Angels are also ineligible as ‘payor’ teams, unable to receive back-to-back lottery picks.

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On Saturday, college football’s most prestigious individual honor will be handed out, with the Heisman Trophy being awarded to the young man deemed to be the most outstanding player in the sport.

While the winner won’t be announced until Dec. 13, the four players vying for the famed, 45-pound bronze trophy have been revealed.

Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza, Vanderbilt quarterback Diego Pavia, Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin and Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love are the finalists for the 2025 Heisman Trophy, with ESPN announcing the group on Monday, Dec. 8.

Mendoza and Pavia are in line to make history for their respective programs, as neither Indiana nor Vanderbilt has ever produced a Heisman winner.

Twelve of the past 15 Heisman recipients have been quarterbacks, though only three of the past five. Last season, Colorado wide receiver/cornerback Travis Hunter took home the award.

Unlike Hunter, whose Buffaloes team went 9-3 in the 2024 regular season, each of the Heisman finalists played on teams that won at least 10 games, including Mendoza and Sayin, whose squads earned first-round byes in the 12-team College Football Playoff.

Love had some history on his side, though. Since 1955, a running back or halfback has won the Heisman in every year that ends in a five, a trend that most recently saw Alabama running back and future NFL All-Pro Derrick Henry hoist the trophy.

In what has become an increasingly transient sport over the past several years, threeof the Heisman finalists are transfers. Mendoza is in his first season at Indiana after transferring from Cal, Pavia is in his second season at Vanderbilt after coming in from New Mexico State and Sayin was an early enrollee at Alabama who spent about a month with the Crimson Tide before transferring to Ohio State shortly after legendary coach Nick Saban’s retirement in Jan. 2024.

Who are the finalists for the Heisman Trophy?

Here’s a look at the four finalists for the 2025 Heisman Trophy:

QB Fernando Mendoza, Indiana
QB Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt
QB Julian Sayin, Ohio State
RB Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame

Heisman Trophy ceremony date

The 2025 Heisman Trophy will be awarded during a ceremony on Saturday, Dec. 13 at 7 p.m. ET from Jazz at Lincoln Center’s Appel Room in New York City.

The ceremony will air on ABC.

Fernando Mendoza stats

In his first season with the Hoosiers, Mendoza has completed 71.5% of his passes for 2,980 yards, 33 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has also rushed for 240 yards and six touchdowns. He led Indiana to a program-record 13 wins, the Hoosiers’ first Big Ten championship game victory and the program’s first undefeated regular season since 1945.

Mendoza had only thrown for a combined 30 touchdowns in his first two seasons of college football, both of which came at Cal.

Mendoza’s 33 touchdown passes are the most among FBS players. He’s tied for second nationally, along with Pavia, in yards per attempt (9.4) and is sixth in completion percentage.

Diego Pavia stats

Pavia improved upon what was already a stellar debut season for Vanderbilt, completing 71.2% of his passes for 3,192 yards, 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He added 826 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.

He’s second among all FBS players in total yards per game, with 334.8, ranking him behind only South Florida quarterback Byrum Brown.

With Pavia at quarterback, the Commodores have gone 17-9 the past two seasons, including a 10-2 mark this season that set a program record for wins. Vanderbilt went just 12-45 in the four seasons before Pavia transferred there.

Julian Sayin stats

In his first season as a starter, Sayin has completed 78.4% of his passes for 3,323 yards, 31 touchdowns and six interceptions.

He’s tied for second among all FBS quarterbacks in touchdown passes, behind only Mendoza, and his completion percentage is currently an FBS single-season record.

Jeremiyah Love stats

The lone non-quarterback of the group, Love has rushed for 1,372 yards and 18 touchdowns this season while averaging 6.9 yards per carry. Love had been a receiving threat out of the backfield, too, with 27 catches for 280 yards and three touchdowns.

Love is third among all FBS players in rushing touchdowns and fourth in rushing yards.

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The UFC event at the White House on June 14 will feature eight or nine championship fights, President Donald Trump told reporters at the Kennedy Center Honors on Dec. 8.

“The biggest fights they’ve ever had,’’ Trump said. “Every one’s a championship fight. And every one’s a legendary type of fight.’’

Trump also said UFC CEO Dana White is holding back fights “right now’’ to save them for the White House. The UFC event will be held there to celebrate America’s 250th anniversary.

An arena being built in front of the White House for the UFC event will have 5,000 to 6,000 seats, according to Trump, who said there will be 100,000 people in the back, where they’re putting up eight or 10 “very big screens.’’

“That’s going to be an exciting night,’’ Trump added. “So many people are asking for tickets.’’

Conor McGregor, the former UFC champion who hasn’t fought since 2021, has lobbied for a spot on the White House card. So has Jon Jones, arguably the greatest fighter in UFC history.

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Republican Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia announced Tuesday that she intends to vote against the proposed fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, saying the legislation spends too much taxpayer money on foreign priorities. 

Greene said in a post on X that the NDAA is ‘filled with American’s hard earned tax dollars used to fund foreign aid and foreign country’s wars.’

Greene pointed to the rising national debt, which, according to fiscaldata.treasury.gov, is more than $38.39 trillion.

‘These American People are $38 Trillion in debt, suffering from an affordability crisis, on the verge of a healthcare crisis, and credit card debt is at an all time high. Funding foreign aid and foreign wars is America Last and is beyond excuse anymore. I would love to fund our military but refuse to support foreign aid and foreign militaries and foreign wars. I am here and will be voting NO,’ Greene declared in her post.

But House Speaker Mike Johnson has praised the proposed NDAA.

‘This year’s National Defense Authorization Act helps advance President Trump and Republicans’ Peace Through Strength Agenda by codifying 15 of President Trump’s executive orders, ending woke ideology at the Pentagon, securing the border, revitalizing the defense industrial base, and restoring the warrior ethos,’ Johnson said in part of a lengthy statement.

Greene plans to leave office early next month, in the middle of her two-year term.

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Senate Republicans appear to be closing in on a plan to counter Senate Democrats’ proposal to extend expiring Obamacare subsidies as a vote on credits at the end of the week draws closer.

Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions chair Bill Cassidy, R-La., and Senate Finance Committee Chair Mike Crapo, R-Idaho, unveiled their proposal to tackle the Obamacare issue that would abandon the subsidies for Healthcare Savings Accounts (HSAs).

The lawmakers have been leading Senate Republicans’ planning for a counter-proposal to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and Senate Democrats’ legislation, which would extend the Biden-era subsidies for three years.

Cassidy and Crapo pitched the legislation as ‘an alternative to Democrats’ temporary COVID bonuses, which send billions of tax dollars to giant insurance companies without lowering insurance premiums.’

The long-awaited proposal would funnel the subsidy money directly to HSAs rather than to insurance companies, an idea that has the backing of President Donald Trump and is largely popular among Senate Republicans.

‘Instead of 100% of this money going to insurance companies, let’s give it to patients. By giving them an account that they control, we give them the power,’ Cassidy said in a statement. ‘We make health care affordable again.’

Crapo contended that the legislation would build off of Trump’s marquee legislative package, the ‘big beautiful bill,’ from earlier this year and would ‘help Americans manage the rising cost of health care without driving costs even higher.’

‘Giving billions of taxpayer dollars to insurers is not working to reduce health insurance premiums for patients,’ he said in a statement.

Whether the bill gets a vote in the upper chamber this week remains in the air, given the growing number of Obamacare subsidy plans floated by Senate Republicans. But Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., signaled that he thought their plan could work.

‘It represents an approach that actually does something on affordability and lowers costs,’ Thune said.

‘But there are other ideas out there, as you know, but I think if there is going to be some meeting of minds on this, it is going to require that Democrats sort of come off a position they know is an untenable one, and sit down in a serious way,’ he continued.

Cassidy and Crapo’s plan would seed HSAs with $1,000 for people ages 18 to 49 and $1,500 for those 50 to 65 for people earning up to 700% of the poverty level. In order to get the pre-funded HSA, people would have to buy a bronze or catastrophic plan on an Obamacare exchange.

The legislation also ticks off several demands from Senate Republicans in their back and forth with Senate Democrats over the subsidies that are unlikely to gain any favor from Schumer and his caucus.

Shortly after the legislation was unveiled, Schumer charged in a post on X that ‘Republicans are nowhere on healthcare, and the clock is ticking.’

Included in Cassidy and Crapo’s bill are provisions reducing federal Medicaid funding to states that cover undocumented immigrants, Requirements that states verify citizenship or eligible immigration status before someone can get Medicaid, a ban on federal Medicaid funding for gender transition services and nixing those services from ‘essential health benefits’ for ACA exchange plans, and inclusion Hyde Amendment provisions to prevent taxpayer dollars from funding abortions through the new HSAs.

Senate Republicans are expected to discuss the several options on the table, including newly-released plans from Sens. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio, and Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., respectively, during their closed-door conference meeting Tuesday afternoon.

When asked if there could be a compromise solution found among the proposals, Cassidy said, ‘That’s going to be the will of the conference, if you will.’

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‘The U.S. struggle with China is the single greatest competition the United States has ever faced,’ defense analyst Seth Jones writes in his new book The American Edge.

And in an interview with Fox News Digital, Jones warned that if war broke out over Taiwan, the United States could burn through key long-range missiles ‘after roughly a week or so of conflict’ — a shortfall he says exposes how far behind the U.S. industrial base remains as Beijing moves onto what he calls a wartime footing.

Jones is a former Pentagon official and president of the Defense and Security Department at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He argues the United States isn’t dealing with a superpower like the Soviet Union, whose system was brittle and economically isolated. China’s economy, he noted, is roughly the size of the U.S. and deeply tied into global production. That economic weight is fueling a military buildup across every major domain, from fifth- and sixth-generation aircraft to an enormous shipbuilding sector he describes as ‘upwards of 230 times the size of the United States.’ The effect, he said, is unmistakable. ‘The gap is shrinking.’

In ‘The American Edge,’ Jones lays out how great powers historically win long wars through production, not just innovation — and that’s where he believes the U.S. has the most to worry about. China’s missile forces now field a wide range of weapons designed to hold U.S. ships and aircraft at risk far from Taiwan. That makes stockpiles and throughput central to any American strategy in the Indo-Pacific.

‘When you look at the numbers right now of those long-range munitions, we still right now would run out after roughly a week or so of conflict over Taiwan,’ he said. ‘That’s just not enough to sustain a protracted war.’

Jones stressed that China’s strengths often overshadow a major vulnerability: its limited ability to hunt submarines. He said Beijing ‘still can’t see that well undersea,’ a gap the U.S. could exploit in any fight over Taiwan. If China tried to ferry troops across the Strait or impose a blockade, American attack submarines — along with a larger fleet of unmanned underwater vehicles — would pose a serious threat. He called the undersea environment one of the few places where the U.S. retains a decisive advantage, and one where production should accelerate quickly.

China has other problems as well. Jones pointed to corruption inside the PLA, inefficiency across its state-owned defense firms, ongoing struggles with joint operations and command-and-control and the fact the Chinese military hasn’t fought a war since the late 1970s. Its ability to project power beyond the first island chain also remains limited. But none of those challenges, he said, change the broader trajectory: China is building weapons in mass and at high speed — and the U.S. is still trying to catch up.

That theme sits at the center of his book. Jones describes a U.S. defense industrial base constrained by long acquisition timelines, aging shipyards, complicated contracting rules and production lines that aren’t built for a modern great-power conflict. In his view, the United States must rediscover the industrial urgency that once allowed it to surge output in wartime.

That responsibility is now falling to the Trump administration, which has pushed the Pentagon and the services to move faster on drones, munitions and new maritime capabilities. Over the past year, the Army, Air Force and Navy have launched new rapid-acquisition offices and programs aimed at fielding systems more quickly and helping smaller companies survive the long, expensive path to production. Senior defense officials have started using the phrase ‘wartime footing’ to describe the moment — language Jones said is overdue.

‘That is exactly the right wording,’ he said. ‘The Chinese and the Russian industrial bases right now … are both on a wartime footing.’

He said identifying a set of priority munitions for multiyear procurement is a meaningful step, and early moves to streamline contracting are encouraging. But he cautioned that the scale of the problem is much larger than the reforms announced so far. ‘The Pentagon writ large is a massive bureaucracy,’ he said. ‘It’s going to take a lot to break that bureaucracy. There’s been some progress, but it’s trench warfare right now.’

Jones said parts of the new National Defense Authorization Act move the needle in the right direction — especially support for expanding shipbuilding and efforts to strengthen the defense workforce. He also pointed to growing interest in leveraging allied shipyards in Japan and South Korea to relieve America’s overburdened maritime industry. But he argued that Washington is still not investing at a level that matches the threat.

‘As a percentage of gross domestic product, [defense spending] is about three percent,’ he said. ‘It’s lower than at any time during the Cold War. I think we need to start getting closer to those numbers and increase the amount of that budget that goes into procurement and acquisition.’

Artificial intelligence is another area Jones believes will reshape the battlefield faster than Washington anticipates. He noted that missile and drone threats now move at a volume and speed no human operator can manually track. ‘You can’t do things like air defense now without an increasing role of artificial intelligence,’ he said. The same applies to intelligence and surveillance, where AI-driven systems are already sorting vast amounts of satellite and sensor data.

But Jones said the United States will fall behind unless the Pentagon brings commercial AI leaders — companies like Nvidia and Google — more directly into national security programs. He argued that the United States needs the opposite of the consolidation that collapsed the defense industry in the 1990s. ‘We’ve got to get to a first breakfast,’ he said, meaning more tech firms competing in the defense space, not fewer.

Despite his warnings, Jones said the United States still has time to rebuild its industrial advantage. But it must act quickly. The Trump administration is talking about a wartime footing. China, he warned, is already living it.

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George Washington Plunkitt was born into poverty in 1842 but rose through the ranks of the Democratic Party machine of New York, the famed ‘Tammany Hall,’ to become a state representative and a state senator. He also became quite wealthy along the way.

Plunkitt always defended his machine and its methods — and the money they made him. Plunkitt would gladly defend the practices of Tammany, rebutting charges of corruption with the standard reply that ‘nobody thinks of drawin’ the distinction between honest graft and dishonest graft. There’s all the difference in the world between the two.’

Plunkitt’s brazenness lives on in the modern-day machines of the left, found in the deep-blue jurisdictions of the country. With the focus on the bilking of Minnesota taxpayers by the Somali community of the Twin Cities (many citizens, many not), voters across the country are still in shock as the story has unfolded since 2022. The lights shone on the Gopher State should get much brighter now, and after that, I have a follow-up that will make the swamp of the Twin Cities seem like a puddle.

The Minnesota story has been hiding in plain sight, with superb reporters from one of the original blogs of more than 20 years ago, Powerline, poring over the scandal for years.

Powerline’s founders John Hinderaker and Scott Johnson, and more recently their colleague Bill Glahn, have continued to dig and report, dig and report, dig and report on the ‘Somali connection.’

In recent weeks, the story caught fire with the help of reporting by Ryan Thorpe and Christopher Rufo of the Manhattan Institute’s City Journal and by Fox News. That ‘Minnesota is drowning in fraud,’ as Thorpe and Rufo put it, has now become a national story. Pray that it is the first of many.

‘There’s an honest graft, and I’m an example of how it works,’ Boss Plunkitt would say. ‘I might sum up the whole thing by sayin’: I seen my opportunities and I took ‘em.’

Turns out the defendants, the indicted and the convicted in the Gopher State saw their opportunities as well, and they put Tammany to shame when it came to scale and speed.

The conmen of Minnesota bilked the state out of vast piles of cash through a variety of plays, the most infamous of which is, for the moment, ‘Feeding Our Future.’ It took truly extraordinary efforts by Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and the state’s attorney general, Keith Ellison, to turn their eyes the other way to allow that scam and soon others to flourish. The possessed girl in ‘The Exorcist’ had nothing on Walz and Ellison when it came to turning their heads.

We have former Attorney General Eric Holder and former White House Counsel Dana Remus to thank for elevating the massive fraud ring run primarily out of the Somali American and Somali community in the Twin Cities to the nation’s attention.

Why? Because that pair made Walz much more than an obscure governor of a deep-blue state. That duo was primarily responsible for ‘vetting’ the 2024 Democratic nominee for vice president as one of Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris’ potential running mates. The dynamic duo of Holder and Remus either wholly missed the massive cons run on Walz’s watch or judged them not significant enough to derail his candidacy.

During ‘Brat Summer,’ the legacy media abandoned its past practices and joined in the effort to push the worst pair of candidates to the finish since Alf Landon and Frank Knox got blown out by FDR in the 1936 referendum on Roosevelt’s New Deal.

Holder blessed Walz, and Holder’s fans in the Manhattan–Beltway corridor followed suit. Media elites blessed Holder’s judgment in turn.

Big mistake.

Now Walz is part of the national Democratic Party’s brand and refuses to go away, choosing to concentrate his efforts on running for a third term as governor next year — and apparently hoping he might be the party’s standard-bearer in 2028. Instead, ‘Feeding Our Future’ broke out of the Minnesota news ghetto and onto the national stage.

‘Run Tim Run’ should be the GOP’s chant, alongside ‘Run Gavin Run,’ because just like Walz, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has some industrial-level explaining to do.

No, I’m not referring to the California governor’s French Laundry debacle. And no, not the devastating fires that tore through L.A. in January. Not even his indicted former chief of staff. No, the exact parallel to Walz’s woe is the Newsom administration’s handling of COVID-era relief for the unemployed — a statewide con run by political cons.

The Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program (PUA), like the Lost Wages Assistance plan, was devised and funded by Congress to keep alive Americans left unemployed or with their businesses shuttered by COVID lockdowns. Like standard unemployment programs, these COVID-era programs were primarily run through state unemployment insurance offices and other state agencies.

The COVID lockdowns were unprecedented, and the public health ‘authorities’ responsible for advising and administering them should never be taken seriously again.

Many of those bureaucrats, drunk on new authority, stepped forward when elected officials sought guidance on what to do about the mysterious and deadly disease imported from China. (Their dismissal of the lab-leak theory speaks to their actual, as opposed to presumed, expertise.)

When lockdowns became the solution du jour, Congress rightly understood that they were shutting down the livelihoods of tens of millions of Americans and flooded the country with life-saving money — three times.

It was not just the Minnesota Somali community that had ‘seen their opportunities and took ‘em.’ So, too, did the cons of California: the real, honest-to-goodness cons of the California penal system — inmates for whom available time to scheme and scam is abundant.

Ask your favorite AI engine, ‘How much fraud was perpetrated against the California Employment Development Department during COVID?’ The answers will vary, but the floor on the cost of the fraud is $20 billion. The ceiling is more than $30 billion.

The Golden State’s EDD is ‘run’ by a director, and Gov. Newsom, who took office in 2018, has appointed two: Rita Saenz and Nancy Farias. COVID arrived on Newsom’s watch, and he and his appointees should own the fraud that followed. They make the Walz–Ellison team look like pikers when it comes to ignoring fraud.

In his first term, President Trump stood up Operation Warp Speed, and Congress rightly decided to (1) spend federal dollars to lessen the lockdown pain and (2) leave the payment of most public benefits to state agencies, while COVID business loans were handled by private-sector banks as the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department innovated in a variety of ways to prevent an economic crash.

The years following the mishap at the Wuhan lab demonstrated the vast incompetence of the American administrative state but also the necessity of a federal government to pick up the tab when ‘scientists’ lose their collective minds and, for example, counsel the closure of schools.

The official timeline has COVID appearing in Wuhan in December 2019 and reaching U.S. shores a month later. We may never know when the first cases were diagnosed by the Chinese Communist Party, and we are not in a position to investigate the horrific fraud and consequent disaster for which General Secretary Xi Jinping is responsible.

But President Trump could order a six-month deep dive into the financial fraud that followed in the U.S., not just in Minnesota and California — though those are the ‘patient zeroes’ for never allowing a crisis to pass without enriching the state’s worst actors.

Could President Trump stand up a time-limited panel to investigate fraud perpetrated on state agencies during COVID? Yes. Might that panel torch a few GOP reputations along the way? Inevitably.

But the interest in the Minnesota Somali shakedown should be a demand signal for accountability across the country.

President Trump often acts in the mold of Teddy Roosevelt, who, like 45–47, was never afraid of a headline — provided he provoked it.

Now is the time for the president to ask a handful of the smartest, most respected people in the country to sort through the wreckage of the COVID era’s many state governments’ responsibilities and ‘initiatives’ and report in rapid fashion — and in clear English — the scale of fraud perpetrated upon state agencies.

Make your search-and-publicize team smart and fast. Putting Johnson and Hinderaker as co-chairs of a strike team devoted to compiling the facts as we know them today would ensure accuracy and fine writing.

And give them a deadline: Aug. 31, 2026. Voters deserve to know how their state governments worked during COVID — or didn’t — before they vote again.

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