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Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz weighed in Sunday on the coffee chain’s dismal latest quarterly report, saying he believes the company will recover if it improves its U.S. stores.

Schultz, who no longer has a formal role within Starbucks, sees an obvious reason for the downturn. He wrote that the company needs to improve its mobile order and pay experience and overhaul how it creates new drinks to focus on premium items that set it apart.

“The stores require a maniacal focus on the customer experience, through the eyes of a merchant. The answer does not lie in data, but in the stores,” Schultz wrote in a letter on Sunday evening posted to LinkedIn.

On Tuesday, Starbucks slashed its full-year forecast after a surprise decline in same-store sales led the company to miss Wall Street’s estimates for quarterly earnings and revenue. Since the report, the company’s shares have fallen 17%, dragging its market value down to $82.8 billion.

Analysts, caught off guard by the chain’s underperformance, have been looking for an explanation for why Starbucks’ U.S. traffic fell 7% in the quarter. The chain could still be dealing with the repercussions of social media backlash related to its position on conflict in the Middle East, Bank of America Securities analyst Sara Senatore wrote in a research note on Monday.

Schultz, who turned Starbucks from a small chain into a coffee giant, stepped down from his latest stint as chief executive a little over a year ago. He handed the reins over to Laxman Narasimhan, who previously was CEO of Lysol owner Reckitt. Schultz also stepped down from the Starbucks board last year.

He appeared to offer advice to his successor as he tries to turn the chain’s sales around.

“Leaders must model both humility and confidence as they work to restore trust and increase performance across the organization,” Schultz wrote.

A year and a half ago, Schultz told CNBC that he does not plan to come back as Starbucks’ chief executive again.

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The trust funds the Social Security Administration relies on to pay benefits are now projected to run out in 2035, one year later than previously projected, according to the annual trustees’ report released on Monday.

At the projected depletion date, 83% of benefits will be payable if Congress does not act sooner to prevent that shortfall.

The Social Security trustees credited the slightly improved outlook to more people contributing to the program amid a strong economy, low unemployment and higher job and wage growth. Last year, the trustees projected the program’s funds would last through 2034, when 80% of benefits would be payable.

“This year’s report is a measure of good news for the millions of Americans who depend on Social Security, including the roughly 50% of seniors for whom Social Security is the difference between poverty and living in dignity — any potential benefit reduction event has been pushed off from 2034 to 2035,” Social Security Commissioner Martin O’Malley said in a statement.

O’Malley, who was sworn in to lead the agency in December, also urged Congress to extend the trust fund’s solvency “as it did in the past on a bipartisan basis.”

“Eliminating the shortfall will bring peace of mind to Social Security’s 70 million-plus beneficiaries, the 180 million workers and their families who contribute to Social Security, and the entire nation,” O’Malley said.

Social Security’s new 2035 depletion date applies to its combined trust funds.

The trust funds help pay for benefits when more money is needed beyond what is coming in through payroll taxes. Currently, 6.2% of workers’ pay is taxed for Social Security, while an additional 1.45% is taxed for Medicare. The total 7.65% is typically matched by employers. High earners may have an additional 0.9% withheld for Medicare.

While the combined depletion date for Social Security’s trust funds is typically used to gauge the program’s solvency, the funds cannot actually be combined based on current law.

Social Security’s two trust funds have distinct projected depletion dates.

The fund used to pay retired workers, their spouses and children, and survivors — formally known as the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund — is projected to last until 2033, which is unchanged from last year. At that time, 79% of those scheduled benefits may be payable.

The fund used to pay disabled benefits — known as the Disability Insurance Trust Fund — will be able to pay full benefits until at least 2098, the last year of the projection period.

Medicare solvency is typically measured by the ability of the trust fund to make up for a shortfall in payroll taxes used to fund Part A hospital insurance.

The Medicare Hospital Insurance trust fund — used to fund Part A benefits — saw the biggest improvement in this year’s trustees report. Its depletion date is now pushed to 2036 — five years later than was projected last year — due in part to higher payroll tax income and lower than projected 2023 expenditures.

At that time, 89% of scheduled benefits may be payable.

Medicare’s Supplemental Medical Insurance Trust Fund — which covers voluntary Part B coverage for physician services and medical supplies and Part D prescription drug coverage — is financed for the indefinite future, since it relies on beneficiary premiums and Treasury Department contributions that are automatically adjusted each year. 

While the new projected depletion dates show lawmakers have slightly more wiggle room, experts say the solvency of both Social Security and Medicare should be addressed sooner rather than later.

For the AARP, the issue is a top concern for members ages 50 and up, said Bill Sweeney, the organization’s senior vice president of government affairs. About 40% of families who are 65 and older rely on Social Security for at least half of their income, and about 20% of families rely on it for all of their income, he said.

For any reductions to be on the horizon for Social Security benefits, or for that to even be talked about, is “really scary for people,” Sweeney said.

“Congress has a responsibility to sit down and work this out in a bipartisan way,” Sweeney said. “And the sooner they do it, the better.”

The new projected depletion dates put Social Security and Medicare on a more similar timeline than previous estimates. That may offer the opportunity for a unified one-step reform for the programs, he suggested.

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Arcade chain Dave and Buster’s plan to allow customer betting isn’t winning over everyone.

Software company Lucra Sports announced on Tuesday that it was working with the entertainment chain to allow customers to place wagers on their arcade games through the Dave & Buster’s app.

But some lawmakers are calling foul.

Illinois State Rep. Daniel Didech, a Democrat from Buffalo Grove, filed a bill on Thursday that’s designed to prohibit family amusement establishments from facilitating wagering on amusement games. He is also looking to criminalize the activity by amending the Illinois Criminal Code. His bill has bipartisan support and is backed by more than two dozen other state lawmakers.

“It is inappropriate for family-friendly arcades to facilitate unregulated gambling on their premises. These businesses simply do not have the ability to oversee gambling activity in a safe and responsible manner,” Didech said in a statement.

Didech, who also serves as chairman of the Illinois House Gaming Committee, said he will be advancing the legislation this session to clarify that such conduct is illegal under Illinois law.

Didech told CNBC that he sees many issues with the idea, ranging from the lack of protections for problem gamblers to exposing younger people to gambling. He said that while Illinois requires people to be 21 and older to gamble, Lucra’s service is for people 18 and up.

“None of those protections are in place at Dave & Buster’s locations. They haven’t even remotely done their due diligence,” Didech said.

The Ohio gaming control board has also taken notice.

“The Commission does have serious concerns about the proposal — including that it appears to violate Ohio law regarding the facilitating of illegal prizes for skill-based amusement machines,” a spokesperson for the Ohio Casino Control Commission told CNBC. “We are reaching out to Dave & Buster’s for additional information.”

Both Lucra Sports — the company that will power the wagers on Dave & Buster’s app — and Dave & Buster’s declined to comment on the opposition.

As sports betting has exploded since it became legal in much of the country, companies are looking to cash in on the gambling craze. The idea for Dave & Buster’s is to give customers a new form of entertainment and keep them engaged longer and ultimately to spend more money.

Lucra said most of the wagers across its software platform, which allows users to compete for real money in friendly competitions, are an average of about $10 in size. But the company hasn’t yet decided on a maximum bet amount for Dave & Buster’s.

Lucra said the arrangement with Dave & Buster’s isn’t subject to the same gambling regulations or taxes that sportsbooks are because peer-to-peer betting is considered skill-based. Lucra also said it has extensive responsible gaming policies in place, such as options to self-exclude or self-limit on the platform.

Brett Abarbanel, executive director of the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, International Gaming Institute, said she is interested to see what safeguards, if any, will be implemented by Dave & Buster’s.

“Regardless of the legal classification of the activity as ‘not gambling’ vs. ‘gambling,’ this is an activity in which participants are risking something of value on an outcome that is uncertain. Therefore, there should be consumer protection measures in place for players, particularly when the target audience is skewed toward younger participants,” she said.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

And now, the question is, will they ever look back?

The Los Angeles Dodgers clawed to the top of USA TODAY Sports’ power rankings, their first appearance atop the heap all season. It was well-earned: The Dodgers swept the previous No. 1, the Atlanta Braves, in a raucous three-game series at Dodger Stadium that came on the heels of a 7-2 road trip.

While the Dodgers added Shohei Ohtani in the offseason, that did little for their pitching paucity to start this season. Well, some questions are getting answered: Erstwhile ace Walker Buehler makes his first start since 2022 Tommy John surgery on Monday against the Marlins. Veteran fifth starter James Paxton shut down the Braves on Sunday.

And the MVPs are doing MVP things. Catch ‘em if you can.

A look at this week’s rankings:

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1. Los Angeles Dodgers (+1)

Shohei Ohtani got Dave Roberts a fast car. Then, he broke his record.

2. Baltimore Orioles (+2)

John Means and Kyle Bradish combined to give up one earned run in 11 ⅔ innings of their season debuts.

3. Atlanta Braves (-2)

Power went out – just three home runs – on 1-5 road trip.

4. Cleveland Guardians (+1)

Top prospect Chase DeLauter fractures bone in problematic left foot.

5. New York Yankees (-1)

Gerrit Cole threw off a mound, beginning road to return (in June or July).

6. Philadelphia Phillies (-)

Trea Turner lost for six weeks; they’re hoping Alec Bohm’s hip hiccup just precautionary..

7. Chicago Cubs (+2)

Javier Assad’s 1.66 ERA leads the National League.

8. Milwaukee Brewers

Avenging Craig Counsell will have to wait as they lose two at Wrigley.

9. Seattle Mariners (+2)

They’ve won four of six vs. Astros, Rangers.

10. Texas Rangers (-)

Kirby Yates has pitched 14 scoreless innings, striking out 16.

11. Cincinnati Reds (-3)

Fill-in center fielder Will Benson down to .195 with .670 OPS.

12. Kansas City Royals (+2)

Red Sox castoff John Schreiber dominant (1.10 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) out of the bullpen.

13. Minnesota Twins (+11)

A 12-game winning streak brings a corresponding bump in the Power Rankings.

14. Boston Red Sox (-1)

Went 220 at-bats without a home run. Strangely, Ceddane Rafaela started and ended the streak.

15. Toronto Blue Jays (-3)

A messy season debut (11 baserunners in four innings) for Alek Manoah, and offense remains a mess.

16. San Diego Padres (+4)

They leaped one spot for every one of Luis Arraez’s knocks in his Padres debut.

17. Detroit Tigers (-)

Jack Flaherty’s career-best 14 strikeouts against Cardinals another sign of strong start.

18. Tampa Bay Rays (-)

Kevin Cash now winningest manager in franchise history.

19. New York Mets (-3)

As Jose Quintana and Adrian Houser struggle, prospect Christian Scott gives rotation some hope.

20. Washington Nationals (+3)

Twelve comeback wins leads major leagues.

21. San Francisco Giants (-)

Have scored three or fewer runs in 19 of last 27 games.

22. Pittsburgh Pirates (-1)

Paul Skenes coming any day now. Right? Right??

23. Arizona Diamondbacks (-8)

Lost seven of nine games and looked very bad doing it.

24. St. Louis Cardinals (+1)

Can’t be losing series to the White Sox.

25. Houston Astros (-3)

Vaunted bullpen a total mess, with Josh Hader giving up 10 earned runs in first 15 outings.

26. Oakland Athletics (+1)

Mason Miller is nice, but Lucas Erceg is nearly as effective out of the bullpen

27. Los Angeles Angels (-1)

Currently in last place. Have not finished in last place since 1999.

28. Miami Marlins (-)

Just stunning how quickly they went from playoff team to same-old-sorry-ass-Marlins.

29. Colorado Rockies (-)

On pace for 124 losses.

30. Chicago White Sox (-1)

Mike Clevinger set to make season debut.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Snoop Dogg is ready to ‘bring the juice’ back to college football. Gin and juice that is.

The rap icon is getting into the bowl sponsorship game, and the Arizona Bowl will officially be known as the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl presented by Gin & Juice By Dre and Snoop.

Launched in February, Gin & Juice By Dre and Snoop is a nod to the famous song with Dr. Dre off Snoop’s 1993 album ‘Doggystyle.’ As the presenting sponsor, it marks the first time an NCAA-sanctioned bowl game will be presented by an alcohol product.

‘It’s time that we get back to the roots of college football. When it was focused on the colleges, the players, the competition, the community, the fan experience and the pageantry,’ Snoop said in social media video. ‘It’s only fitting that I step up and help get this thing right. I’m ready to bring the juice back to college football.’

The game, previously known as the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl, pits a team from the Mountain West Conference and Mid-American Conference at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, home of the Arizona Wildcats. The deal with Snoop is a multi-year sponsorship, according to bowl organizers, and was brought together by the game’s consulting partners, Playfly Sports.

‘We’re thrilled about our groundbreaking partnership with Snoop and Gin & Juice By Dre and Snoop,’ Kym Adair, executive director of the Arizona Bowl, said in a statement. ‘This year, the Arizona Bowl is bringing sports, libations, and entertainment into a singular bowl game, and we are changing the definition of what a brand partnership is in the NCAA.’

Snoop has long been part of football, including the launch of his Snoop Youth Football League in 2005. He was frequently seen at Southern California games during the program’s dominance in the 2000s, and his son Cordell Broadus was a member of the UCLA football team before stepping away from the game.

In addition to the game, a ‘SNOOPER Bowl’ will take place, which will bring ‘the top California and Arizona youth football teams to battle it out.’ The Arizona Bowl will take place Dec. 28 at 2:30 p.m. MT.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

NEW YORK — Major League Baseball commissioner Rob Manfred said Monday the league doesn’t ‘feel a lot of pressure’ regarding a timeline in relation to its investigation into the Shohei Ohtani gambling scandal.

Ohtani’s now-former interpreter Ippei Mizuhara was indicted by federal prosecutors last month and charged with bank fraud after allegedly stealing more than $16 million from Ohtani to pay off gambling debts.

The legal process, Manfred said, likely will provide more information and insight than an MLB investigation could.

‘The indictment kind of provides insight into exactly what happened there,’ Manfred said Monday during his annual meeting with the Associated Press Sports Editors. ‘Realistically, what makes the most sense for us is just to kind of let the criminal process play out a little bit.’

Why MLB is taking wait-and-see approach to Ohtani situation

Manfred cited law enforcement’s subpoena power and access to information as main reasons why the league is taking something of a wait-and-see approach.

All things Dodgers: Latest Los Angeles Dodgers news, schedule, roster, stats, injury updates and more.

‘Rarely are we fortunate enough to find ourselves in a position where a criminal process plays out in a way that cannot be the need for us to do the investigation,’ he said. ‘This could be one of those.

‘Law enforcement officials have tools available at their disposal that are a lot more powerful that what we have.’

Does MLB monitor gambling?

Yes and no.

The league works with gambling regulators, sportsbooks and independent monitors, to monitor legal bets in and around ballparks and enforce MLB gambling policies.

Manfred, who said the league was ‘dragged’ into legalized gambling before adding that it has actually put the sport in a ‘better position’ from an ‘integrity perspective,’ said there’s not much the league can do about illegal gambling.

Educate and investigate are the only choice, he said.

Manfred said the league has a training program that exposes players and team personnel ‘to issues that can end their careers in baseball.’

Are MLB players allowed to bet on sports?

They can bet on professional sports, but not baseball or other ‘diamond sports,’ such as softball.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

NEW YORK — The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers have intense playoff history, and if Game 1 of the latest chapter is any indication, this series has a good chance to live up to that rich past.

The Knicks overcame a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Pacers, 121-117, in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Monday night before another raucous and rollicking Madison Square Garden crowd.

Donte DiVincenzo drained a huge three-pointer with 40.1 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter that put the Knicks up by three and they hung on from there.

Nothing about the Knicks’ Game 1 came easily, but they again relied on grit and tenacity to pull out the victory.

They had a poor second quarter, getting outscored 31-22 by the Pacers in the period.

And that would’ve been worse had Isaiah Hartenstein not made a buzzer-beating three-pointer from beyond halfcourt as the final seconds of the first half expired. Hartenstein’s heave sliced the Knicks’ deficit to six points at the break.

The Knicks looked like they were taking control midway through the third quarter, but the Pacers reeled off a 10-0 run to go up by five to get a five-point lead of their own.

Indiana later took a nine-point lead early in the fourth quarter, but the Knicks climbed back, cutting it to one on a three-pointer from the left wing by DiVincenzo.

Jalen Brunson later drained a pair of free throws to tie it at 109 with 3:29 remaining in the fourth quarter before OG Anunoby got a steal and a fast-break dunk to push the Knicks ahead by two.

Along with DiVincenzo’s three, the Knicks made key shots late to stay ahead.

After a tight series with the Sixers in the first round, the Knicks had yet another tight game with the Pacers.

They came out on top in Game 1.

TAKEAWAYS

Jalen Brunson hits 40 points … again

The Knicks star guard finished with 43 points on 14-of-26 shooting (1-of-4 from long distance) with six rebounds and six assists.

It was Brunson’s fourth consecutive 40-point game.

He again was serenaded with ‘MVP!’ chants throughout the night.

Josh Hart’s all-around game

Hart was fantastic for the Knicks to do a little bit of everything.

He finished with 24 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists.

Midway through the fourth quarter, Hart made a tough layup and drew the foul. He missed the free throw, but managed to grab the rebound and got the put-back to cut the Knicks’ deficit to one point.

Tyrese Haliburton not much of offensive factor for Pacers

This was a close game despite Haliburton not providing much scoring for Indiana.

Haliburton finished with 6 points on 2-of-6 shooting. He also had two rebounds, eight assists and four steals.

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A member of the far-left ‘Squad’ facing a tough challenge from within his own party recently attended a fundraiser co-hosted by an Islamic leader who said he was ‘happy to see’ the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas on Israeli civilians.

Rep. Jamaal Bowman, who represents New York’s 16th Congressional District, attended the May 1 fundraiser at a private residence in Fairfax, Virginia, and didn’t seem to mind the presence of Nihad Awad, a highly controversial and antisemitic figure who serves as the national executive director and co-founder of the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR).

Awad faced sharp scrutiny last year after expressing his pleasure with the Hamas attack that resulted in the deaths of nearly 1,200 Israelis, including women and babies, and claiming Israel ‘does not have a right to self-defense.’

‘The people of Gaza only decided to break the siege – the walls of the concentration camp – on Oct. 7,’ Awad said during the 16th annual Convention for Palestine on Nov. 24 near Chicago. ‘And yes, I was happy to see people breaking the siege and throwing down the shackles of their own land and walk free into their land that they were not free to walk in.’

He continued, ‘And yes, the people of Gaza have the right to self-defense, have the right to defend themselves. And yes, Israel as an occupying power does not have that right to self-defense.’

The Biden administration later scrambled to distance itself from CAIR following Awad’s comments, stating it was removing the group from its publicly listed pledge to fight antisemitism.

At the time, White House spokesperson Andrew Bates told Fox News Digital in a statement, ‘We condemn these shocking, Antisemitic statements in the strongest terms.’

‘The horrific, brutal terrorist attacks committed by Hamas on October 7th were, as President Biden said, ‘abhorrent’ and represent ‘unadulterated evil,’’ Bates said.

‘October 7th was the deadliest day for Jewish people since the Holocaust,’ he continued. ‘The atrocities of that day shock the conscience, which is why we can never forget the pain Hamas has caused for so many innocent people.’

‘There are families who are in agony mourning loved ones, and there are also families in agony as they do everything in their power to free loved ones being held hostage,’ Bates said. ‘Every leader has a responsibility to call out Antisemitism wherever it rears its ugly head.’

Ahead of the fundraiser, Awad posted on social media praising Bowman as ‘a staunch defender of Palestinian rights’ and asking people to attend the fundraiser and donate.

It’s unclear why Bowman decided to attend a fundraiser alongside Awad, and his campaign did not respond to Fox News Digital’s request for comment.

Bowman is facing what is expected to be a tough primary battle against George Latimer, who serves as a Westchester County executive and previously served in the New York State Assembly and state Senate.

The primary will be held on June 25. The winner will likely become the next representative of the district as elections analysts rate the race as either ‘safe’ or ‘solid’ Democrat.

Fox News’ Timothy H.J. Nerozzi contributed to this report.

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The Hamas-run Gaza Ministry of Health released an infographic on April 24 through social media site Telegram indicating that it lacked identifying data for more than 10,000 of the 34,183 so-called martyrs who had been killed in the 200 days following Hamas’ brutal Oct. 7 attack on Israel.

Despite growing concerns over the Ministry of Health’s figures, the Biden administration continues to cite the ministry’s data with no reference to its origin. In October, President Biden claimed that he had ‘no confidence’ in Ministry of Health figures. In his March, State of the Union address, Biden shared the ministry’s data with a global audience without referencing its origin, noting that ‘more than 30,000 Palestinians have been killed, most of whom are not Hamas.’

David Adesnik, senior fellow and director of research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital that the incompleteness of data entries for 10,152 victims in an earlier April 21 data set should be ‘a flashing red light’ for onlookers who have previously trusted ministry calculations of the death toll in Gaza.

Adesnik has called on the Biden administration to ‘ask the intelligence community to evaluate the data’s sources and accuracy’ prior to citing Ministry of Health figures in the future.

Adesnik explained that until the end of March, the Ministry of Health grouped victims of alleged ‘Israeli aggression’ into two categories. In one category were the victims whose deaths have been reported by the Gazan hospital system. This category also includes thousands of deaths registered by family members who believe their loved ones’ bodies remain buried under rubble, or are otherwise inaccessible. For victims in this category, the ministry says it can provide names, identification numbers, ages and genders of the deceased. 

‘Ask the intelligence community to evaluate the data’s sources and accuracy’ prior to citing Ministry of Health figures in the future.

The second category were victims whose deaths were reported through what the ministry referred to as ‘reliable media sources.’ Adesnik says the Ministry of Health has ‘never specified what the sources are, or how they determine if the information in these sources is credible. And of course, Gaza doesn’t have independent media,’ he added. These entries lack at least one of five categories of identifying information: an identification number, full name, gender, birthdate, or date of death. Adesnik says there is no clarification of what information is lacking that renders entries incomplete.

He noted that the proportion of deaths reported through media sources has increased from about 30% in December to nearly 80% in the first quarter of 2024. There are irregularities in the death toll reported through media sources, like the gender breakdown of victims, which he says is ‘so skewed that it is almost hard to believe.’

If one combines both categories of victims, he says, it appears that around 70% of victims are women and children, as Hamas has claimed. Utilizing only the first category of individuals, whose records the health ministry labels as ‘complete,’ about 60% of victims are women and children. 

By late March, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that 13,000 Hamas terrorists had been killed. 

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Adesnik referenced the work of economist Michael Spagat, a longtime proponent of the accuracy of the Ministry of Health’s data. Spagat recently found 3,407 records within the data set of supposedly complete records that have been duplicated, have missing or invalid identification numbers, or lack an age for the deceased. When these records are removed from the first category’s count, Spagat found that 53.3% of victims were women and children. 

In its April 21 update, the Hamas-run Ministry of Health shifted its moniker for the second category of deaths, no longer referring to them as having been collated through media sources, but rather as sources that lack complete data. ‘It’s just a relabeling,’ Adesnik said. 

Adesnik has sounded the alarm about multiple other irregularities in the the numbers. He previously reported for FDD that the ministry’s death toll vacillates on occasion. He told Fox News Digital that additional aspects of the ministry’s reporting have yet to be verified, including whether it truly differentiates between naturally-occurring deaths among Palestinians, and deaths that occur due to violence.

Adesnik also questions whether the ministry counts deaths from misfired Palestinian rockets, such as the rocket that hit Al-Ahli Arab hospital on Oct. 16, in its toll. The Times of Israel reported in November that the Israel Defense Forces estimated 12% of Palestinian rockets landed in Gaza.

Adesnik also encouraged closer scrutiny of children in Hamas’ death figures, explaining that many Hamas fighters are under the age of 18. ‘If you look at the gender breakdown of people who died under the age of 18, you can see the teenagers have a surplus of men,’ he explained. 

Biden shared the ministry’s data with a global audience without referencing its origin, noting that ‘more than 30,000 Palestinians have been killed, most of whom are not Hamas.’

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Gabriel Epstein, a research assistant at The Washington Institute’s Koret Project on Arab-Israel Relations, reported in January the ‘many reasons to treat Gaza Ministry of Health and [Government Media Office] fatality numbers with skepticism,’ including their underreporting of male deaths. By March 26, Epstein noted that ‘discrepancies in official Palestinian counts and their growing reliance on questionable data’ have ensured the ministry’s ‘numbers themselves have lost any claim to validity.’

In response to questions about whether the State Department is looking into the sources of Ministry of Health death data for the more than 10,000 victims for whom the ministry lacks essential identifying information, a spokesperson said the department is not able to independently assess actions in Gaza. The spokesperson noted that thousands of civilians, and a significant number of children, have been killed in Gaza. ‘Every one of those losses is a tragedy, whether it’s the number that has been released from Gaza or whether it’s some other number, every one of them is a tragedy, and we mourn the loss of every one of those civilians.’

The stakes in getting the numbers correct are high. As Epstein explained in his January report, ‘although thousands of Palestinian noncombatants, including military-age males, have undoubtedly been killed in the Hamas-initiated conflict, the world must also recognize that the group has manipulated and exploited civilian fatality claims for its strategic benefit, in an attempt to truncate Israel’s air and ground operations and stir international outrage. The international media and NGOs have repeated such claims without proper scrutiny and in turn validated and reinforced Hamas propaganda efforts.’ 

Another gap in Ministry of Health death counts is the lack of differentiation between military and civilian casualties. Terrorist casualty rates are disputed. In February, a Hamas official told Reuters that the group had lost around 6,000 of its estimated fighters. The IDF estimated they had killed double that amount, or 12,000. By late March, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that 13,000 Hamas terrorists had been killed. 

Fox News Digital reached out to the IDF and to Hamas leadership for comment about the Ministry of Health’s incomplete records, and for an updated count of the losses that Hamas has incurred on the battlefield. Neither responded.

Even utilizing Ministry of Health data, the ratio of civilian to militant deaths demonstrates significant Israeli efforts to minimize casualties, according to information that John Spencer, chair of Urban Warfare Studies at West Point’s Modern War Institute, recently shared on the social media platform X. 

Based on the ministry’s estimate that 34,000 have died in the war and the IDF’s claim it has killed 13,000 Hamas fighters, Spencer calculated a 1 to 1.5 or 1.6 ratio of combatant to civilian deaths in Gaza. He compared this to the 1 to 2.5 combatant to civilian death rate ‘when U.S.-led Iraqi Security Force killed 10,000 civilians to destroy 4,000 ISIS’ between 2016 and 2017 during the Battle of Mosul, and the 1 to 6 combatant to civilian death rate when ‘the American military killed 100,000 civilians to destroy 17,000 Japanese defenders’ at the 1945 Battle of Manila. 

Spencer also described the numerous methods that Israel has employed to protect the civilian population of Gaza, including but not limited to evacuating civilians before beginning ground invasions, providing safe routes and humanitarian zones for evacuations, notifying civilians of combat areas with flyers, direct phone calls and text messages, imposing use of force restrictions, and using legal advisers in their targeting process. 

In sum, Spencer explained that ‘all available evidence shows that Israel has followed the laws of war, legal obligations, best practices in civilian harm mitigation and still found a way to reduce civilian casualties to historically low levels.’ 

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Between now and July 15, when the GOP convention kicks off in Milwaukee, presumptive Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump will pick a running mate. Oftentimes the vice presidential choice is not especially consequential; this time it is.

Trump can only serve one term. If you believe, like two-thirds of your fellow Americans, that the country is on the wrong track, you must agree that four years of Donald Trump will not suffice. 

To fix our open border, restore law and order, unleash our domestic energy industries, bring federal spending under control and so much more, will take 8 to 12 years. That is what our nation needs and, with the help of his vice president, that is what Trump must deliver.

The former president gets it. More than once, he has said that his major criteria in choosing a running mate will be that the individual can serve as president. 

This past weekend, the Republican National Committee convened important donors in Palm Beach. The gatherings showcased several potential VP candidates, including Republican senators Tim Scott of South Carolina, Marco Rubio of Florida, and J.D. Vance of Ohio. Governors Kristi Noem of South Dakota and Doug Burgum of North Dakota were invited as were congressional representatives Elise Stefanik from New York and Byron Daniels from Florida. Businessman and former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy was also at the fund-raising event.

Others apparently under consideration include former Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Arizona Senatorial candidate Kari Lake and – wait for it – former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.

The buzz in Palm Beach was all about Tim Scott and Doug Burgum. Are they the finalists? No one knows; indeed, the vetting process, which can take weeks, has not formally begun. But the guessing-game is well underway.

I judge the candidates on these five attributes:

1. Credible presidential candidate

2. Loyalty to Donald Trump

3. Well vetted, not likely to surprise

4. Helps with an important demographic, state and/or fund-raising

5. Aligns with Trump on abortion

We can rule out Kristi Noem. She not only shot a 14-month-old puppy, she shot herself in the foot. How the South Dakota governor could not have predicted that her revelation about puppycide would cause an uproar in our dog-obsessed nation is unimaginable; after all, the most damning thing most people remember about Mitt Romney was that he once traveled with his family dog on the roof of his car. 

Former Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard is out. The one-time Democrat, who endorsed Sen. Bernie Sanders in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020, is mostly celebrated for having switched sides. That’s not compelling.

Also unlikely is Vivek Ramaswamy, who is too young and unpredictable, and who behaved like an insufferable jerk in the GOP debates. 

The abortion issue sidelines some otherwise strong candidates, including Florida’s Ron DeSantis, who has been an effective governor and in a recent poll of contenders, earned the highest approval ratings from both Republicans and right-leaning independents. For many, his signing of a 6-week abortion bill in Florida disqualifies him. Trump has enough problems combatting Democrats’ right to choose campaign and eagerness to misrepresent his moderate stance on the issue without giving them extra fuel. Gov. Burgum argues abortion should be left up to the states, which is Trump’s position. Burgum, a wealthy businessman who could help fund the campaign, has little name recognition but is otherwise a solid choice.

Choosing a female running mate could bolster Trump’s standing with women, currently his weakest demographic. A recent Quinnipiac poll showing the race in a dead heat had Biden beating Trump with women 52% to 41%; narrowing that gap would be powerful. 

But, many women in contention are strong anti-abortion campaigners, which will not help win over female voters in swing states. Arizona’s Kari Lake, for instance, has complicated her credentials by flip-flopping on abortion. Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who is popular with Republicans and right-leaning Independents and who is well vetted thanks to her stint as White House spokesperson under Trump, is similarly staunchly pro-life.   

Ditto Rep. Elise Stefanik, the firebrand congresswoman from New York who came to prominence chastising university presidents for allowing antisemitism to blossom on campuses. She is not well-known and has been awarded an A+ rating by the non-profit Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America group.

The V.P. pick could also bolster Trump’s standing with minorities. Senators Tim Scott and Marco Rubio could help with Black and Hispanic voters, respectively. Both are also relatively well-known; Scott, in particular, is popular. A recent YouGov poll assessing several V.P. candidates showed 49% of Republicans and right-leaning independents approving of Scott, with only 14% disapproving.  (Rubio was not covered in that survey.) That’s why oddsmakers put Tim Scott at the top of the contender list. 

But Scott did not gain traction in the GOP primary race; he is viewed by some as having a wonderful life story but otherwise narrow credentials. Marco Rubio, on the other hand, has credibility on foreign policy and could bolster Trump’s fast-growing appeal to Hispanics. 

Mike Pompeo, Trump’s former Secretary of State, has an impressive C.V., and clearly has the ability to occupy the Oval Office. J.D. Vance is not broadly known and probably, like Byron Daniels, too new to the national scene (in that recent survey 58% said they were ‘unsure’ about the Ohio senator). 

Many centrist Republicans would like to see Nikki Haley run with Trump, thinking she could attract women to the ticket and also moderate voters who dislike both Biden and the former president. It might work, but would require repairing what became a serious rift between her and her former boss. The former U.N. Ambassador angered Trump and his supporters by staying in the race even when she had no chance of winning; her approval among Republicans and independents who lean GOP is poor. 

On the plus side, Haley’s position on abortion aligns with Trump, and she is an excellent campaigner.

In the coming weeks, expect to see Trump road-test numerous candidates. For the sake of the country, let’s hope he chooses a winner.

 

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