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President Joe Biden for the first time authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-given long-range missiles to strike inside Russia, a prospect that President-elect Donald Trump’s allies believe could threaten ‘World War III.’

Ukraine can now target positions in the Kursk region, where Russia has lined up some 50,000 troops, including 10,000 North Koreans, senior U.S. officials confirmed to Fox News. Ukrainian forces seized the Russian territory earlier this year. 

‘This is another step up the escalation ladder, and no one knows where this is going,’ Rep. Michael Waltz, R-Fla., Trump’s incoming national security adviser, said on Fox News. 

‘​​No one anticipated that Joe Biden would ESCALATE the war in Ukraine during the transition period. This is as if he is launching a whole new war,’ Ric Grenell, Trump’s former acting director of national intelligence, wrote on X, formerly Twitter. 

‘Everything has changed now – all previous calculations are null and void. And all for politics.’

‘The Military Industrial Complex seems to want to make sure they get World War 3 going before my father has a chance to create peace and save lives. Gotta lock in those $Trillions. Life be damned!!! Imbeciles!’ Donald Trump Jr., the president-elect’s son, wrote on X.

‘On his way out of office, Joe Biden is dangerously trying to start WWIII by authorizing Ukraine the use of U.S. long range missiles into Russia,’ said Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., on X. ‘The American people gave a mandate on Nov 5th against these exact America last decisions.’

Deputy national security adviser Jon Finer, in Rio de Janeiro on Monday, did not comment specifically on long-range missiles, but suggested the introduction of North Korean forces factored into the White House’s decision. 

‘The United States has been clear throughout this conflict that we will make our policy decisions based on the circumstances we identify on the battlefield, including in recent days and weeks a significant Russian escalation that involves the deployment of a foreign country’s forces on its own territory,’ Finer said.

Ukraine has pleaded for months with the Biden administration to be allowed to strike inside Russia — and hawkish members of Congress have issued similar demands. But Biden officials feared getting the U.S. further entrenched in the war.

Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., called the authorization an ‘impeachable offense.’

‘By authorizing long range missiles to strike inside Russia, Biden is committing an unconstitutional Act of War that endangers the lives of all U.S. citizens. This is an impeachable offense, but the reality is he’s an emasculated puppet of a deep state,’ Massie wrote on X. 

Ukrainian forces have been using drones for some deep strikes, but believe the U.S.-made ATACMS would be more effective. 

ATACMS, a surface-to-surface missile system fired from a mobile launcher vehicle, can strike anywhere between 100 and 190 miles away. 

Russian President Vladimir Putin has yet to respond to reports the U.S. will cross one of his ‘red lines,’ but his spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, accused the U.S. of adding fuel to the fire. 

‘This is a qualitatively new round of tension and a qualitatively new situation in terms of U.S. involvement in this conflict,’ Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists in a Monday briefing. ‘It’s clear that the outgoing administration in Washington intends to take steps to, they’ve said so, to continue to add fuel to the fire and to further provoke the level of tension.’

Ukraine has not yet used any ATACMS in Russia, according to a senior defense official. 

Rebekah Koffler, a former Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) officer and author of ‘Putin’s Playbook,’ suggested the reports could be a ‘trial balloon to disrupt Trump’ and Biden may not have formally authorized the ATACMS strikes yet. 

‘Biden knows the danger of dragging the U.S. into conflict with Russia,’ she said. ‘But if the reports are true, then what it means to Putin is that he has been correct all along in thinking that the U.S. is serious about destroying Russia, using Ukraine, and he was correct all along to devise a plan to defeat the U.S., if necessary, with kinetic means.

‘It will mean when Trump comes, Putin does not trust the U.S.… he will likely just proceed to destroying Ukraine. That is why he is not in a rush to negotiate, because he thinks that he can do it, because Russia has Ukraine outgunned and outmanned.’

Trump has insisted he could bring a quick end to the war, a belief Koffler predicted Putin would play to his advantage. 

‘He’s going to pretend that he’s interested in negotiations, and drag it on, drag it on. And you know, trying to get the best deal possible. In the meantime, he’s going to proceed [with] destroying Ukraine.’

Other congressional hawks welcomed the reported lift on restrictions, but said it had taken too long.

Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Mo., ranking member on the Armed Services Committee, said the decision ‘does not excuse the administration’s deliberate slow-walking of items and assistance long authorized by Congress for use against] Putin’s illegal aggression.’

Rep. Mike Turner, R-Ohio, chair of the House Intelligence Committee, called the new move ‘long overdue,’ saying, ‘President Biden should have listened to President Zelenskyy’s pleas much earlier.’

Earlier this month, Biden, for the first time, authorized U.S. contractors to deploy to Ukraine to help the country’s military maintain and repair U.S.-provided weapons systems. 

The announcement came after Great Britain and France authorized Ukraine to launch SCALP/Storm Shadow missile strikes, according to French outlet Le Figaro.

Biden’s announcement also came just hours after Russia concluded one of its largest missile and drone attacks in months, launching more than 200 targeting Ukraine’s power and energy infrastructure.

Putin has previously said that giving Ukraine the green light on missile use would effectively mean that the U.S. and NATO are ‘in the war.’

‘Flight assignments for these missile systems can, in fact, only be entered by military personnel from NATO countries. Ukrainian servicemen cannot do this. And therefore, it is not a question of allowing the Ukrainian regime to strike Russia with these weapons or not. It is a question of making a decision whether NATO countries directly participate in the military conflict or not,’ Putin said in September.

Fox News’ Jennifer Griffin contributed to this report.

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS

This late in the season, it’s odd to see so many NFL teams changing quarterbacks. But whether it’s an injury (Dak Prescott), a team needing a spark (Anthony Richardson) or a team looking to change directions completely (Daniel Jones), it seems there’s been more than the usual amount of turnover under center lately.

Throw in six teams on bye this week (and six more in Week 14), fantasy managers could be doing some scrambling of their own as the playoffs approach.

Here are some players whose values are trending upward (or downward) as a result of their performances in Week 11:

Fantasy football players to buy for Week 12

QB Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers: Coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman like a run-heavy offense. But Herbert’s success with his arm has helped open up the attack, and he has found a connection with young WRs Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey.

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WR Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland Browns: Jeudy caught six passes 142 yards, including a stunning 89-yard touchdown from QB Jameis Winston. It was his first 100-yard game since January 2023 when he was with Denver.

Fantasy football players to sell for Week 12

WR Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers: The rookie racked up four receptions for 73 yards and a touchdown in Week 10, but with Jauan Jennings at full health and Deebo Samuel looking good, Pearsall was targeted just twice on Sunday, posting zero catches.

WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kansas City Chiefs: Smith-Schuster looked like he could reemerge as a valuable fantasy option in Kansas City … until the team traded for DeAndre Hopkins. Now, JuJu is behind Hopkins and Xavier Worthy, and he is fighting for scraps with Mecole Hardman.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Just 16 games into a four-year, $160 million extension, New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has been benched.

The former first-round pick had led the Giants to a 2-8 start in 2024, tied for the worst record in football, and a 3-13 record overall since signing his extension. A Week 10 loss to the Carolina Panthers in Germany before the team’s Week 11 bye proved to be the breaking point for Jones and the Giants.

New York is currently in position to select a new franchise quarterback with a top pick in the 2025 NFL draft and have a potential out on Jones’ contract after the 2024 season.

However, the quarterback’s contract includes an injury guarantee for the 2025 season, meaning a significant part of Jones’ salary for next year becomes guaranteed if he suffers a football-related injury before the Giants release him. That could have provided extra incentive for the decision to bench the signal-caller for the remaining seven games of 2024.

Here’s who else the Giants can start under center for the rest of the season:

NFL STATS CENTRAL: The latest NFL scores, schedules, odds, stats and more.

Giants QB depth chart

New York has two quarterbacks besides Jones on its 2024 roster.

Tommy DeVito
Drew Lock
Daniel Jones (benched)

Set to take over the Giants’ starting quarterback role is 26-year-old Tommy DeVito, who joined the Giants as an undrafted free agent last season. Thanks to injuries to Jones and former backup Tyrod Taylor, the Illinois product made his NFL debut in Week 8 against the New York Jets. He went on to appear in eight more games, starting six of them to the tune of a 3-3 record that included a three-game win streak against the Commanders, Patriots and Packers.

DeVito holds a 64% career completion rate to go with 1,101 passing yards, eight passing touchdowns and three interceptions. He has not appeared in a game for the Giants yet this year.

Continuing his Giants stint as a backup quarterback is Drew Lock, whom New York signed to a one-year, $5 million deal ahead of the 2024 season. Lock previously played with the Denver Broncos from 2019 to 2021 before becoming part of the Russell Wilson trade, sending the youngster to the Seattle Seahawks.

Lock had 23 career starts prior to the 2024 season, 21 of which were with Denver. He holds a 9-14 record in his career with a completion rate of 59.4%, 5,289 passing yards, 28 passing touchdowns and 23 interceptions. Lock, not Jones, will be the second-string quarterback for the Giants going forward, according to head coach Brian Daboll.

Daniel Jones stats

Here’s where Jones’ stats ended up prior to his benching 10 games into the season:

Completion rate: 216-of-341 (63.3%)
Passing yards: 2,070
Yards per completion: 9.6
Passing touchdowns: 8
Interceptions: 7
Passer rating: 79.4
Rush attempts: 67
Rushing yards: 265
Yards per rush: 4.0
Rushing touchdowns: 2

Jones’ passer rating is his lowest outside of a six-game 2023 season (70.5). His yards per completion is also his lowest outside of 2023 (8.4).

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

President Biden is asking Congress to approve nearly $100 billion in emergency funding to aid recovery efforts for the recent deadly storms that ravaged parts of the South.

Biden sent a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., on Monday asking him to quickly take up his supplemental disaster aid request, specifically aimed at helping people affected by storms Helene and Milton.

The White House letter did not specify a total, but Fox News Digital was told it amounts to roughly $98 billion.

‘With the Congress now back in session, I write to request urgently needed emergency funding to provide for an expeditious and meaningful Federal response to Hurricanes Helene and Milton and other natural disasters,’ Biden wrote.

The speaker’s office confirmed it received the request, and it was being reviewed by staff.

Fox News Digital also reached out to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y.

Congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle have repeatedly said they would stand ready to act on storm relief funds once a cost estimate was made.

Johnson told Fox News Digital in early October that Helene would likely be ‘one of the most expensive storms that the country has ever encountered.’

‘It affects at least six states – a broad swath of destruction across many, many areas – and I think that’s why it’s going to take awhile to assess,’ Johnson said at the time. ‘As soon as those numbers are ready, Congress will be prepared to act.’

Helene barreled into the Southeastern U.S. in late September, killing more than 100 people in North Carolina alone and causing billions of dollars of structural damage.

Hurricane Milton, another deadly storm, hit Florida and Georgia roughly a week later.

Biden’s funding request is expected to cover the FEMA Disaster Relief Fund, and disaster funds for the Small Business Administration, the Environmental Protection Agency and other relevant areas.

It comes as FEMA faces some backlash after an official was caught instructing workers to ignore houses with pro-Trump campaign signs in Florida after Milton and Helene. 

FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell condemned the incident, which she called an isolated event.

Criswell is due before the House Oversight Committee on Tuesday for a high-stakes hearing.

And while any supplemental relief package is expected to get broad enough bipartisan support to pass, House GOP hardliners are expected to oppose the measure if it does not offset the costs with cuts elsewhere.

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS

Today we explore the bullish sentiment that has taken SPX valuations to the moon. There are many out there that believe we have hit a plateau on prices that will continue permanently. We talk about the quote: “Stock prices have reached ‘what looks like a permanently high plateau,’ Irving Fisher, Yale economist, told members of the Purchasing Agents Association at its monthly dinner meeting…” When did this quote come out? Carl reviews our earnings chart.

Carl looks at our signal tables to get a sense of the condition of the market. Then he discusses his outlook for the market as well as covering Bitcoin, Yields, Bonds, Gold, the Dollar, among others.

After covering the market, Carl analyzes the short- and intermediate-term charts of the Magnificent Seven. NVDA reports earnings on November 18th.

Carl takes some time to look at Real Estate (XLRE) “under the hood” and discusses its nearing Dark Cross Neutral Signal that is on tap.

Erin covers sector rotation, comparing defensive sectors to aggressive sectors. She looks under the hood at Utilities which is a sector that is showing new momentum among the sectors. With a possible market decline continuing, this defensive area of the market could find favor and continue higher.

The pair finish with looking at viewer symbol requests with an eye toward the intermediate term today.

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As we approach the third quarter of the NFL season, time is quickly running out for a number of teams, some of them once thought to be prime contenders.

Perhaps no team is feeling that more than the Cincinnati Bengals, who now face an uphill climb in the AFC, particularly because of the tough division they play in.

Similarly, the San Francisco 49ers, the defending NFC champs and a team that has made conference title game appearances in four of the last five seasons, suddenly faces the possibility of missing the playoffs altogether in large part because of the NFC’s surprisingly robust middle class.

Here are the winners and losers from Sunday of Week 11 in the NFL.

WINNERS

Bills take care of business, but the real test looms

Now that they defeated the previously unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs, the Buffalo Bills (9-2) have won four of their last five regular-season matchups against the two-time defending champions. That’s an excellent marker, one showing the best any team has fared against the most consistent dynasty in football.

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Yet, in previous seasons, that hasn’t really mattered. Since 2021, Buffalo has lost all three playoff games against the Chiefs in that span. The Bills converted 60% of their third down tries against the Chiefs on Sunday, a season worst for Kansas City’s defense. Josh Allen put the game in his hands, willing Buffalo to a massive game-sealing score on a fourth down. That’s great and all, but now the Bills must show they can beat the Chiefs — a team they may very well face in the postseason — in January, not just in the fall.

It seems unsustainable, but Steelers are winning without touchdowns

This marks the second time in 2024 that Pittsburgh failed to score a touchdown, converted six field goals and still managed to win. The first time was the season opener and Sunday, Chris Boswell converted kicks from 32 (twice), 52, 57, 27 and 50 yards.

Boswell has now converted 29 of 30 field goals (96.7%) this season, proving just how valuable he is. That it came on a day when the normally reliable Justin Tucker missed a pair of field goal attempts underscored that further. Boswell leads the NFL in points (107) by 10, and the Steelers (8-2) are riding their oppressive defense and pristine special teams to contention for the top seed in the AFC. Yet, at some point, coordinator Arthur Smith’s offense will need to be more productive.

Colts don’t compound mistake, course correct with Anthony Richardson

Even though the Indianapolis Colts may need to manage occasional turnovers from Anthony Richardson, this week showed just how badly coach Shane Steichen botched the quarterback situation by starting Joe Flacco two weeks. With Richardson’s two rushing scores against the New York Jets in a 28-27 win, it became obvious just how much more potent Indy’s rushing attack is when he presents a threat to run.

With the Colts down five, Richardson (20-of-30 for 272 yards and one passing score) led the Colts on a six-play, 70-yard, game-winning touchdown drive. He completed all three of his throws on the drive for 60 yards and ran it twice for 8 yards, including the game-winning score. Most importantly, the Colts (5-6) moved into the No. 8 spot in the AFC, one spot out of the final wild-card slot.

Dolphins are also finding their form but is it too late?

Now that they’re closer to full health, the Miami Dolphins are slowly clawing their way back up the playoff picture, positioning themselves just one game back of the Colts. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa recorded his best game of the season, completing 28 of 36 passes for 288 yards and three scores. Tagovailoa still occasionally holds the ball too long and takes unnecessary sacks, but he was notably more decisive against the Las Vegas Raiders.

Two weeks ago, Miami was 2-6 and sitting in the No. 12 spot in the AFC. The Dolphins (4-6) now are sitting at No. 9. The margin for error is slim, but Miami has the fourth easiest remaining strength of schedule (.397).

LOSERS

This feels like the end for the Bengals’ season

When Cincinnati scored 21 in a row to tie the game against Los Angeles, it felt like it was on the verge of saving its season. When the Bengals (4-7) allowed the Chargers to march down the field for a game-winning touchdown, it felt like an obituary for their playoff hopes.

The Bengals have had a frustrating season in which just about every close game did not go their way. That’s not hyperbole; Cincinnati is now 1-6 in games decided by seven points or fewer. In a hypothetical, half of those losses break for the Bengals. Cincy would then be 7-4 and in prime position to claim an AFC wild-card berth.

Are the defending NFC champion 49ers in danger of missing the playoffs?

Realistically, yes. San Francisco, though tied with the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams at 5-5, is currently in last place in the NFC West due to tiebreakers. The Arizona Cardinals (6-4) are only one game up in the division, so it’s very much wide open.

Against the Seahawks, the Niners defense was relatively solid, though the unit buckled late when the team needed a stop to preserve the game. Yet since linebacker Dre Greenlaw tore his Achilles during the Super Bowl, and with Talanoa Hufanga sidelined with various injuries, San Francisco’s defense has struggled in the red zone and on third downs. The Niners have games left against the Packers (7-3), Bills (9-2) and Lions (9-1). They’re 1-3 in division games. Most concerning for the 49ers is that they’ve failed to match the play of the better teams in the NFL; San Francisco does not have a single victory against a team over .500.

Falcons embarrass themselves, lack consistency or identity

Atlanta revamped its coaching staff, offense and quarterback outlook, and the goal was to compete for conference championships. The Falcons, as currently constructed, seem very far away from that.

A young Broncos team embarrassed Atlanta in a 32-point drubbing in which the Falcons failed to score a touchdown, averaged 2.4 yards per carry and yet again did not generate a tangible pass rush, allowing rookie quarterback Bo Nix to pop off for 307 yards and four touchdowns. The Falcons (6-5) still have a solid lead in the NFC South, with the Buccaneers (4-6) closest. Still, the Falcons are wildly inconsistent, and it’s hard seeing them competing with the NFC’s best as long as they lack an offensive identity as well as physicality and speed in their edge rush.

Are the self-destructing Ravens truly elite contenders?

No elite team self-destructs more than the Ravens, prompting the question: is Baltimore truly an elite contender if it constantly finds ways to lose?

The Ravens lost the turnover battle to the Steelers 3-1, with all three giveaways field goals. Tucker, the most accurate kicker in league history, missed consecutive field goal attempts in the first quarter from 47 and 50 yards. Tucker has now missed six field goals and one extra point this season — all of them wide left. His field goal percentage (72.7%) this year is the lowest of his career. Baltimore (7-4) was enforced for 12 penalties for 80 yards. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken inexplicably abandons the rushing game; Derrick Henry, who did have a first-quarter fumble, carried the ball just 13 times. And now the Steelers (8-2) have a nice little cushion in the AFC North.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

INGLEWOOD, Calif. — Frustrations are beginning to boil over as the Cincinnati Bengals (4-7) enter their bye week searching for answers after another excruciating one-score defeat.

The Bengals rallied back from a 27-6 second-half deficit but were defeated by the Los Angeles Chargers 34-27 in a Sunday night thriller. It was the Bengals’ sixth loss by one score this season.

‘Ask Zac (Taylor). Ask the coaches. Don’t ask me. That’s not my job,” Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase said postgame when asked about the team’s inability to finish close game. “I play football on the field. I don’t call plays for us, you know? So I can’t really do nothing.’

Chase finished with seven receptions, 75 yards and two touchdowns. Tee Higgins produced nine catches, 148 and a touchdown. Yet it wasn’t enough, as the Bengals could not cap off a fierce second-half rally.

The loss is turning into the story of the Bengals’ season. Of Cincinnati’s seven losses, six have been by seven points or less.

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“I can’t. I wish I could,” Bengals coach Zac Taylor answered when asked if he could explain the team’s close losses this season. … ‘You know, what I just keep telling the team is, ‘at some point, this has got to help us. At some point we got to find some momentum and we got to get on a run. We’ve got to find ourselves in a good position where we reflect back.’ We don’t ever want to use a loss for good, but it’s got to help us in some way. We’ve played some really good football teams and we just got to find a way to finish it. I keep saying that and obviously, we’re a play away every time I say it, but I still got the confidence that we can get this thing done.”

The Week 12 bye provides the Bengals an opportunity to regroup. However, their playoff chances are floating away in the Ohio River. The Bengals are five games back of the Pittsburgh Steelers and three games behind the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC North. A wild-card berth is becoming increasingly unlikely with every loss. According to the New York Times, the Bengals have just a 22% chance to make the playoffs.

“We know where we’re at. I’m not happy with where we’re at,” Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow said. “I don’t think anybody is, but all you can do is come back (Monday) and try to get better.”

Burrow leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns. Chase tops the league in receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Unfortunately for the Bengals, their numbers haven’t translated into wins.

When Burrow was asked if this is the most frustrating NFL season he’s had to date. The Bengals fifth-year quarterback had a straightforward answer: “Yes”.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

The New York Giants have already backed the return of coach Brian Daboll and general manager Joe Schoen for 2025, but the franchise appears to be closing the door on another one the current regime’s defining figures.

The Giants have decided to bench quarterback Daniel Jones for Sunday’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers coming out of the bye, the team announced Monday. Tommy DeVito will take over and Drew Lock will serve as the backup. Jones, who has started 69 of the 70 NFL games he’s played in his career, will be the emergency option as a third-stringer.

‘After evaluating a bunch of things and looking a lot of tape – and being around Tommy last year, where he created a little bit of a spark for us – that’s the reason we’re going with Tommy,’ Daboll said in a news conference, adding that he believed the move was necessary.

Daboll has repeatedly stood by Jones throughout this season amid the sixth-year veteran’s continued struggles. Jones was benched in the fourth quarter of a Week 7 blowout loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, but Daboll afterward shot down the notion of making a switch.

Though the coach said after a Week 10 overtime loss to the Carolina Panthers in Munich that he did not consider benching Jones after the first half, he did acknowledge the team would ‘evaluate’ its options at quarterback.

All things Giants: Latest New York Giants news, schedule, roster, stats, injury updates and more.

Now, the Giants likely have seen their longtime starter take his last snap with the organization.

Jones, 27, still has two years remaining on the four-year, $160 million extension he signed with the team in March 2023 after setting career highs in passing yards (3,205) and passer rating (92.5). Though his base salary is not guaranteed beyond this season, he has a 2025 injury guarantee of $23 million. An additional $12 million on his $30 million salary next season becomes guaranteed by March 16, which could set a deadline for a potential split.

Jones has eight touchdowns and seven interceptions on the season. He went 672 days between touchdown passes at MetLife Stadium before ending his drought in Week 9 against the Washington Commanders.

DeVito started six games during the 2023 season when Jones was injured.

This story has been updated with new information and a new video.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

As Oscar Wilde famously observed, there is only one thing in the world worse than being talked about, and that is not being talked about. So it is that our attention here at Overreaction HQ is largely devoted to the endless debate among fan bases advocating for their teams and/or against others now that most of the college football regular season is in the books.

These arguments are fed by the weekly release of the College Football Playoff Committee rankings, which essentially mean nothing until the final bracket is determined. Though often tiresome, however, such discussions are also viewed as a feature rather than a bug, especially by those whose job it is to opine on the state of the sport. Yes, that includes us.

Here are the top five overreactions causing the most noise after Week 12.

The Big Ten is overrated.

The at-large pool for the 12-team field is limited to seven teams as currently constructed. It is largely accepted that three of those seven slots will go to Big Ten teams, barring some truly shocking results over the final two weeks. That will give the conference four playoff participants in all, including the eventual league champ.

Unsurprisingly, most of the loudest voices questioning the resumes of the projected Big Ten invitees are coming from SEC territory. We’ll address that league’s case in a moment. But we’ll say this much for the Big Ten foursome currently occupying 80% of the top five in the US LBM Coaches Poll. They’ve all avoided damaging losses against the conference’s mid- and bottom-tier teams.

We’ll also add this. One frequently heard argument runs along the lines of, for example, Alabama would absolutely be favored in a game against Indiana. Even if that were true, the committee does not consider that – at all. Oddsmakers set lines based upon public perception. Their purpose is not to predict the final margin but to equalize the wagers on both sides. The fact that underdogs frequently win outright anyway, so the notion that a team potentially being favored in a given matchup carries no weight in seeding or bracketing discussions.

The SEC is underrated

The more grounded argument from SEC advocates is its contenders have faced stiffer competition week-to-week and should get more credit for their tougher schedules, which will naturally produce more losses among the candidates as they knock each other off. But while it’s true that the SEC is deeper, the league also lacks a true juggernaut this season. There are a lot of very good teams, but none are so good that they can’t be picked off on a given day.

The real problem with the conference in the era of expansion is the champion might be determined by who it didn’t play rather than who it did. Texas and Texas A&M top the standings, and the winner of their head-to-head showdown in two weeks will earn a spot in the title game. But among the two-loss teams, the Longhorns have played only Georgia, and neither they nor the Aggies have faced Ole Miss, Tennessee or Alabama. The SEC is not the only conference with that issue, of course, but if conference titles continue to be valued in future playoff formats, leagues will need to take steps to assure that they truly crown their best team.

UP AND DOWN: Florida, Colorado lead Week 12 winners and losers

MISERY INDEX: Utah’s further flop leads disappointments from Week 12

BYU took the Big 12 down with it

Brigham Young’s loss to Kansas in the wee hours seems to have pushed the Big 12 a step closer to being a one-bid conference. It was getting close to that already to be honest, with the Cougars the only squad that might have had an at-large case had their lone loss occurred in the title game.

Furthermore, as we’ve addressed before, the eventual champ’s case for a first-round bye also took a hit. BYU might still be in the best position for that, but the Cougars must win out, and must also probably hope like heck that SMU wins the ACC to give them a non-conference win against another Power Four champion.

Louisville took the ACC down with it.

But the ACC took its own damaging loss thanks to the Cardinals’ fourth-quarter meltdown at lowly Stanford. The Louisville setback dealt collateral damage to the aforementioned SMU and Miami, while also making Clemson’s home loss to the Cardinals more of a resume stain.

The good news for the ACC is Miami’s earlier win against Florida has gained value, and Clemson has a chance to pick up another quality non-league result against South Carolina in a couple of weeks. Even so, an at-large berth seems like a long shot, and both the Big 12 and the ACC must hope their eventual winners don’t finish outside the top five FBS conference champions altogether (see last week’s Boise State plus Army scenario). Which brings us to …

The Notre Dame dilemma

Theoretically, if you’re a fan of a team with at-large aspirations, you should root for Army to upend Notre Dame this week to effectively remove the Irish from the pool, right? Well, yes, if your team is in a guaranteed multi-bid league. But if you’re still in the mix in the Big 12 or ACC, you might not want the Black Knights to run the table and possibly earn automatic inclusion along with Boise State.

If you want to make sure you don’t get squeezed out, you probably want Army to lose, either to the Irish or to Tulane in the American Athletic Conference finale. This might make you very unpopular at parties, but nothing is more important than your team, right?

Honestly, that might be the biggest overreaction of them all.

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Daniel Jones’ time as the New York Giants’ starting quarterback is coming to an end.

The Giants are making a change at quarterback following their Week 11 bye, per reports. Jones will be heading to the bench while Tommy DeVito will be elevated from the team’s third-string quarterback role to the starting job.

Jones’ benching isn’t a surprise. He didn’t perform well during the 2024 NFL season, leading the Giants to just a 2-8 record through 10 weeks and posting a passer rating of 79.4, good for the fourth-worst mark in the league.

Beyond that, benching Jones protects the Giants from an awkward situation that could have arisen had they kept playing him. The veteran quarterback has an injury guarantee in his contract that would have made it more difficult to release him in 2025 had he gotten hurt.

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Here’s what to know about Jones’ contract and the role it played in his benching.

Daniel Jones contract details

Jones is in the second year of a four-year, $160 million extension he inked with the Giants in 2023, following the expiration of his rookie contract. Below are the full details of the contract, per Spotrac.com:

Term: 4 years
Total value: $160 million
Average annual value (AAV): $40 million
Guaranteed money: $81 million

Jones’ extension was certainly lucrative, but the Giants slightly protected themselves by guaranteeing only half of it. That gives them the ability to get out of the contract during the 2025 NFL offseason while absorbing a dead cap hit of just over $22.2 million.

That said, there was one potential wrinkle in that plan: a significant portion of Jones 2025 salary would become guaranteed if he was sidelined by a long-term injury.

Daniel Jones injury guarantee

Jones had a $23 million injury guarantee baked into his contract for the 2025 NFL season. That meant if he suffered a significant injury, the Giants would have to guarantee $23 million of his $30 million base salary for the campaign.

Without the injury guarantee, none of Jones’ $30 million salary would be guaranteed until the fifth day of the new NFL league year in March. That would give the Giants ample time to release Jones before owing him any more money.

Had Jones lived up to the expectations set by his lucrative extensions, the Giants wouldn’t have worried much about those guarantees. They would be happy to pay them to keep the quarterback around the team.

But Jones hasn’t been up to snuff. As such, New York will likely look to get out of his contract after the 2024 NFL season. That means the team will not want his injury guarantee to trigger, as it would make Jones’ contract more of an albatross than it already is.

That well may be the primary reason that the Giants benched Jones, despite general manager Joe Schoen’s insistence that the choice would be a ‘football decision’ based on on-field performances. Sitting Jones guarantees he won’t get hurt, so New York will be able to part with him without risking the possibility of absorbing an additional $23 million in collateral damage.

If you’re looking for a recent comparison to this situation, the Denver Broncos took this approach with Russell Wilson before the end of the 2023 NFL season to save themselves from guaranteeing $37 million of his salary for 2024. They were much closer to contention than the Giants, so it’s hardly a surprise to see New York take the same approach with Jones.

Daniel Jones cap hit, dead cap hit for 2025

Jones is budgeted for a cap hit of just over $41.6 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Releasing him would carry a dead-cap charge of about $22.2 million for the Giants, which would save them roughly $19.4 million in overall cap space.

New York would also receive a cash boon from the move, as the Giants would get out of paying Jones the $30 million they would otherwise eventually owe him in salary. That could prove just as valuable during an offseason where the Giants will be looking for a long-term quarterback to replace Jones.

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